Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Gegard Mousasi won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 6, 2013·Stockholm, Sweden, Sweden
Style matchupGegard Mousasi: Submission grapplervsIlir Latifi: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Gegard Mousasi wins(67.2%)
Actual result: Gegard Mousasi wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gegard Mousasi enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Gegard Mousasi has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Ilir Latifi has 41pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Gegard Mousasi
Red Corner
VS
Ilir Latifi
Blue Corner
-710
(88%)
Vegas Odds
+575
(15%)
40
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
5'10"
193.04 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gegard MousasiW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Thales Leites · Feb 16W
KOvs Thiago Santos · Jul 16W
KOvs Vitor Belfort · Oct 16W
KOvs Uriah Hall · Nov 16W
KOvs Chris Weidman · Apr 17Ilir Latifi
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Volkan Oezdemir · Aug 19L
vs Derrick Lewis · Feb 20W
vs Tanner Boser · Jun 21W
vs Aleksei Oleinik · Oct 22L
vs Rodrigo Nascimento · May 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gegard MousasiMetricIlir Latifi
3.75
Strikes / min
2.05
1.21
Strikes absorbed / min
2.93
68%
Strike defense
56%
1.59
TDs / 15 min
2.11
59%
Takedown defense
100%
1.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+2.54Δ 3.42 — meaningful gap-0.88
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gegard Mousasi(10 fights)Ilir Latifi(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Gegard Mousasi
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights12
Ilir Latifi
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights16