Welterweight
3 Rounds
Geoff Neal won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, September 8, 2018·Dallas, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupGeoff Neal: Pressure fightervsFrank Camacho: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Geoff Neal wins(53.7%)
Actual result: Geoff Neal wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Frank Camacho enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Geoff Neal is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Frank Camacho has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Geoff Neal (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Geoff Neal
Red Corner
VS
Frank Camacho
Blue Corner
-210
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+175
(36%)
35
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Geoff NealL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Mar 23L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Feb 24W
KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Oct 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 25L
KOvs Uros Medic · Feb 26Frank CamachoL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Drew Dober · Jan 18W
KOvs Nick Hein · Jun 19L
SUBvs Beneil Dariush · Oct 19L
KOvs Justin Jaynes · Jun 20L
KOvs Manuel Torres · May 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Geoff NealMetricFrank Camacho
5.02
Strikes / min
6.56
5.50
Strikes absorbed / min
7.44
57%
Strike defense
51%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
1.11
87%
Takedown defense
73%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.48evenly matched on net striking-0.88
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Geoff NealFrank Camacho
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Geoff Neal(10 fights)Frank Camacho(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+17.5-17.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-22.022.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-4.84.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Geoff Neal
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14
Frank Camacho
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7