Welterweight
3 Rounds
Geoff Neal won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 14, 2019·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupGeoff Neal: Pressure fightervsMike Perry: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Geoff Neal wins(72.4%)
Actual result: Geoff Neal wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Geoff Neal (53.5%).
- Geoff Neal has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Geoff Neal
Red Corner
VS
Mike Perry
Blue Corner
-300
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
35
Age
34
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'10"
190.5 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Geoff NealL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Mar 23L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Feb 24W
KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Oct 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 25L
KOvs Uros Medic · Feb 26Mike PerryL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alex Oliveira · Apr 19L
vs Vincente Luque · Aug 19W
vs Mickey Gall · Jun 20L
vs Tim Means · Nov 20L
vs Daniel Rodriguez · Apr 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Geoff NealMetricMike Perry
5.02
Strikes / min
4.32
5.50
Strikes absorbed / min
5.16
57%
Strike defense
52%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
0.81
87%
Takedown defense
78%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.48evenly matched on net striking-0.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Geoff NealMike Perry
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Geoff Neal(10 fights)Mike Perry(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+46.1-46.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.2-1.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Geoff Neal
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14
Mike Perry
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights15