Welterweight
3 Rounds
Geoff Neal won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 27, 2019·Edmonton, Alberta, Canada, Canada
Style matchupGeoff Neal: Pressure fightervsNiko Price: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Geoff Neal wins(72.7%)
Actual result: Geoff Neal wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Niko Price enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Geoff Neal is a KO finisher (63% of wins). Niko Price has lost 55% of fights by KO.
- Geoff Neal has 37pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Geoff Neal (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Geoff Neal
Red Corner
VS
Niko Price
Blue Corner
-335
(77%)
Vegas Odds
+275
(27%)
35
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
190.5 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Geoff NealL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Mar 23L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Feb 24W
KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Oct 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 25L
KOvs Uros Medic · Feb 26Niko PriceL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Alex Morono · Jun 24L
vs Themba Gorimbo · Oct 24L
SUBvs Jacobe Smith · Jun 25L
KOvs Nikolay Veretennikov · Feb 26L
SUBvs Michael Chiesa · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Geoff NealMetricNiko Price
5.02
Strikes / min
5.11
5.50
Strikes absorbed / min
5.57
57%
Strike defense
48%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
1.06
87%
Takedown defense
50%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.48evenly matched on net striking-0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Geoff NealNiko Price
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Geoff Neal(10 fights)Niko Price(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.80.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Geoff Neal
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14
Niko Price
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights19