Welterweight
3 Rounds
Geoff Neal won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 26, 2024·Abu Dhabi, Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, United Arab Emirates
Model Prediction: Geoff Neal wins(59.2%)
Actual result: Geoff Neal wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Geoff Neal enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Geoff Neal has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Geoff Neal has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Geoff Neal
Red Corner
VS
Rafael Dos Anjos
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
35
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
5'8"
190.5 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Geoff NealL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Vicente Luque · Aug 22L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Mar 23L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Feb 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 25L
KOvs Uros Medic · Feb 26Rafael Dos AnjosL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Renato Moicano · Mar 22L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22L
vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Geoff NealMetricRafael Dos Anjos
5.02
Strikes / min
3.48
5.50
Strikes absorbed / min
3.23
57%
Strike defense
60%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
1.95
87%
Takedown defense
54%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.48evenly matched on net striking+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Geoff NealRafael Dos Anjos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Geoff Neal(10 fights)Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-28.628.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+21.0-21.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Geoff Neal
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14
Rafael Dos Anjos
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights32