Welterweight
3 Rounds
Uros Medic won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, February 21, 2026·Houston, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupGeoff Neal: Pressure fightervsUros Medic: Striker
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Uros Medic wins(55.2%)
Actual result: Uros Medic wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Geoff Neal has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Geoff Neal has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Geoff Neal
Red Corner
VS
Uros Medic
Blue Corner
-215
(68%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
35
Age
33
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Geoff Neal
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Vicente Luque · Aug 22L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Mar 23L
vs Ian Machado Garry · Feb 24W
KOvs Rafael Dos Anjos · Oct 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Aug 25Uros MedicW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 23W
KOvs Tim Means · Apr 24L
KOvs Punahele Soriano · Jan 25W
KOvs Gilbert Urbina · Aug 25W
KOvs Muslim Salikhov · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Geoff NealMetricUros Medic
5.02
Strikes / min
5.59
5.50
Strikes absorbed / min
3.42
57%
Strike defense
56%
0.54
TDs / 15 min
0.34
87%
Takedown defense
55%
0.10
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.48Δ 2.65 — meaningful gap+2.17
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Geoff NealUros Medic
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Geoff Neal(10 fights)Uros Medic(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+7.6-7.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+84.0-84.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Geoff Neal
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14
Uros Medic
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights10