Welterweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Yakovlev won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 30, 2016·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Model Prediction: George Sullivan wins(61.2%)
Actual result: Alexander Yakovlev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Alexander Yakovlev has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alexander Yakovlev (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
George Sullivan
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Yakovlev
Blue Corner
-115
(53%)
Vegas Odds
-105
(51%)
45
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'0"
Height
6'3"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
George SullivanL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Igor Araujo · Sep 14L
SUBvs Tim Means · Apr 15W
vs Dominic Waters · Jul 15L
SUBvs Niko Price · Jan 18L
SUBvs Mickey Gall · Aug 18Alexander YakovlevL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jul 16L
SUBvs Zak Cummings · Nov 16W
SUBvs Alex Da Silva · Apr 19L
vs Roosevelt Roberts · Nov 19L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Oct 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
George SullivanMetricAlexander Yakovlev
3.53
Strikes / min
1.74
2.42
Strikes absorbed / min
2.41
57%
Strike defense
58%
1.37
TDs / 15 min
1.66
38%
Takedown defense
72%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.11Δ 1.78 — meaningful gap-0.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
George SullivanAlexander Yakovlev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
George Sullivan(7 fights)Alexander Yakovlev(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+52.0-52.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-99.099.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
George Sullivan
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7
Alexander Yakovlev
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9