Welterweight
3 Rounds
George Sullivan won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Sunday, July 12, 2015·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupGeorge Sullivan: Elusive strikervsDominic Waters: Wrestler
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: George Sullivan wins(66.9%)
Actual result: George Sullivan wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- George Sullivan enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- George Sullivan has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Dominic Waters has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
George Sullivan
Red Corner
VS
Dominic Waters
Blue Corner
-250
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+210
(32%)
45
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'0"
Height
6'1"
185.42 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
George SullivanL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Igor Araujo · Sep 14L
SUBvs Tim Means · Apr 15L
KOvs Alexander Yakovlev · Jan 16L
SUBvs Niko Price · Jan 18L
SUBvs Mickey Gall · Aug 18Dominic WatersL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Dong Hyun Kim · Nov 15L
vs Leon Edwards · May 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
George SullivanMetricDominic Waters
3.53
Strikes / min
0.48
2.42
Strikes absorbed / min
2.53
57%
Strike defense
39%
1.37
TDs / 15 min
4.07
38%
Takedown defense
28%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.11Δ 3.16 — meaningful gap-2.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
George SullivanDominic Waters
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
George Sullivan(7 fights)Dominic Waters(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+19.4-19.4
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-47.647.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
George Sullivan
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights7
Dominic Waters
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights3