Middleweight
3 Rounds
Gerald Meerschaert won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 7, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupGerald Meerschaert: Submission grapplervsDeron Winn: Wrestler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Gerald Meerschaert wins(59.5%)
Actual result: Gerald Meerschaert wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gerald Meerschaert threatens submissions; Deron Winn has lost 33% of fights by sub.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gerald Meerschaert (53.5%).
- Gerald Meerschaert has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Gerald Meerschaert
Red Corner
VS
Deron Winn
Blue Corner
+125
(44%)
Vegas Odds
-135
(57%)
38
Age
36
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
5'6"
195.58 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gerald MeerschaertL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 24L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24L
vs Brad Tavares · Apr 25L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25Deron Winn
oldest →latest
W
vs Eric Spicely · Jun 19L
vs Darren Stewart · Oct 19W
vs Antonio Arroyo · Dec 20L
KOvs Phil Hawes · Jun 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gerald MeerschaertMetricDeron Winn
2.95
Strikes / min
4.55
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
6.21
53%
Strike defense
46%
1.70
TDs / 15 min
4.28
40%
Takedown defense
40%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.49Δ 1.17 — meaningful gap-1.66
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gerald MeerschaertDeron Winn
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)Deron Winn(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.0-16.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+6.0-6.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Gerald Meerschaert
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights25
Deron Winn
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5