Middleweight
3 Rounds
Jack Hermansson won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 15, 2018·Milwaukee, Wisconsin, USA, USA
Style matchupGerald Meerschaert: Submission grapplervsJack Hermansson: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Gerald Meerschaert wins(59.2%)
Actual result: Jack Hermansson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jack Hermansson has 40pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gerald Meerschaert (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Gerald Meerschaert
Red Corner
VS
Jack Hermansson
Blue Corner
+130
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-150
(60%)
38
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'1"
195.58 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gerald MeerschaertL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 24L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24L
vs Brad Tavares · Apr 25L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25Jack HermanssonL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Chris Curtis · Jul 22L
KOvs Roman Dolidze · Dec 22W
vs Joe Pyfer · Feb 24L
KOvs Gregory Rodrigues · Jun 25L
KOvs Myktybek Orolbai · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gerald MeerschaertMetricJack Hermansson
2.95
Strikes / min
5.15
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
3.72
53%
Strike defense
56%
1.70
TDs / 15 min
1.48
40%
Takedown defense
80%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.49Δ 1.92 — meaningful gap+1.43
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gerald MeerschaertJack Hermansson
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)Jack Hermansson(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.2-15.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-55.055.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-2.02.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Gerald Meerschaert
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights25
Jack Hermansson
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights19