Middleweight
3 Rounds
Gerald Meerschaert won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Sunday, February 19, 2017·Halifax, Nova Scotia, Canada, Canada
Style matchupGerald Meerschaert: Submission grapplervsRyan Janes: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Gerald Meerschaert wins(50.7%)
Actual result: Gerald Meerschaert wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gerald Meerschaert enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gerald Meerschaert threatens submissions; Ryan Janes has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Ryan Janes has 18pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gerald Meerschaert (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Gerald Meerschaert
Red Corner
VS
Ryan Janes
Blue Corner
-300
(75%)
Vegas Odds
+250
(29%)
38
Age
44
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'1"
Height
6'3"
195.58 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gerald MeerschaertL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Edmen Shahbazyan · Aug 24L
SUBvs Reinier de Ridder · Nov 24L
vs Brad Tavares · Apr 25L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Aug 25L
SUBvs Kyle Daukaus · Nov 25Ryan Janes
oldest →latest
W
vs Keith Berish · Dec 16L
vs Jack Marshman · Jul 17W
KOvs Andrew Sanchez · Dec 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gerald MeerschaertMetricRyan Janes
2.95
Strikes / min
7.69
3.44
Strikes absorbed / min
5.53
53%
Strike defense
59%
1.70
TDs / 15 min
0.35
40%
Takedown defense
58%
1.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.49Δ 2.65 — meaningful gap+2.16
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gerald MeerschaertRyan Janes
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gerald Meerschaert(10 fights)Ryan Janes(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-1.01.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
0.00.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Gerald Meerschaert
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights25
Ryan Janes
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights4