Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Gian Villante won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 27, 2018·Moncton, New Brunswick, Canada, Canada
Style matchupGian Villante: Pressure fightervsEd Herman: Submission grappler
The pressure fighter risks getting subbed if they over-commit on the ground.
Model Prediction: Gian Villante wins(55.1%)
Actual result: Gian Villante wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gian Villante enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Gian Villante has 13pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Gian Villante has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Gian Villante
Red Corner
VS
Ed Herman
Blue Corner
-235
(70%)
Vegas Odds
+195
(34%)
40
Age
45
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'1"
193.04 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gian VillanteL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sam Alvey · Jun 18L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 19L
SUBvs Maurice Greene · Jun 20L
vs Jake Collier · Dec 20L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Nov 21Ed HermanL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Patrick Cummins · May 19W
vs Khadis Ibragimov · Nov 19W
SUBvs Mike Rodriguez · Sep 20L
vs Alonzo Menifield · Aug 21L
KOvs Zak Cummings · Apr 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gian VillanteMetricEd Herman
4.38
Strikes / min
3.31
5.47
Strikes absorbed / min
3.71
55%
Strike defense
42%
0.45
TDs / 15 min
1.96
83%
Takedown defense
59%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.09evenly matched on net striking-0.40
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gian VillanteEd Herman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gian Villante(10 fights)Ed Herman(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-36.136.1
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-329.0329.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Gian Villante
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights18
Ed Herman
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights16