Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Jake Collier won · U-DEC
UFC Event·Saturday, December 5, 2020·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupGian Villante: Pressure fightervsJake Collier: Pressure fighter
Two pressure fighters — expect a fast pace and a war of attrition. Fitness decides it.
Model Prediction: Jake Collier wins(56.0%)
Actual result: Jake Collier wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gian Villante enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jake Collier enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gian Villante has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Gian Villante
Red Corner
VS
Jake Collier
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+160
(38%)
40
Age
37
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'3"
193.04 cm
Reach
198.12 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gian VillanteL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Sam Alvey · Jun 18W
vs Ed Herman · Oct 18L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 19L
SUBvs Maurice Greene · Jun 20L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Nov 21Jake CollierL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Chase Sherman · Jan 22L
vs Andrei Arlovski · Apr 22L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Sep 22L
vs Martin Buday · Apr 23L
vs Mohammed Usman · Sep 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gian VillanteMetricJake Collier
4.38
Strikes / min
5.80
5.47
Strikes absorbed / min
5.08
55%
Strike defense
50%
0.45
TDs / 15 min
0.71
83%
Takedown defense
67%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.09Δ 1.81 — meaningful gap+0.72
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gian VillanteJake Collier
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gian Villante(10 fights)Jake Collier(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-8.28.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
Gian Villante
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights18
Jake Collier
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach78.0"
Fights14