Light Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Tom Lawlor won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 25, 2015·Chicago, Illinois, USA, USA
Style matchupGian Villante: Pressure fightervsTom Lawlor: Wrestler
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Gian Villante wins(61.1%)
Actual result: Tom Lawlor wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gian Villante enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gian Villante has 26pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Tom Lawlor (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Gian Villante
Red Corner
VS
Tom Lawlor
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+180
(36%)
40
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
6'3"
Height
6'0"
193.04 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gian VillanteL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Ed Herman · Oct 18L
KOvs Michal Oleksiejczuk · Feb 19L
SUBvs Maurice Greene · Jun 20L
vs Jake Collier · Dec 20L
KOvs Chris Barnett · Nov 21Tom Lawlor
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Chris Weidman · Nov 11W
KOvs Jason MacDonald · May 12L
vs Francis Carmont · Nov 12W
SUBvs Michael Kuiper · Apr 13L
vs Corey Anderson · Mar 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gian VillanteMetricTom Lawlor
4.38
Strikes / min
2.50
5.47
Strikes absorbed / min
2.41
55%
Strike defense
60%
0.45
TDs / 15 min
2.46
83%
Takedown defense
57%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.09Δ 1.18 — meaningful gap+0.09
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gian VillanteTom Lawlor
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gian Villante(10 fights)Tom Lawlor(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.7-12.7
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-742.0742.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Gian Villante
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights18
Tom Lawlor
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights8