Welterweight
3 Rounds
Gilbert Burns won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, August 10, 2019·Montevideo, Uruguay, Uruguay
Style matchupGilbert Burns: WrestlervsAleksei Kunchenko: Elusive striker
The wrestler must close distance through high-output striking. The elusive striker thrives in space.
Model Prediction: Gilbert Burns wins(69.7%)
Actual result: Gilbert Burns wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gilbert Burns enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Aleksei Kunchenko has 11pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Aleksei Kunchenko has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Gilbert Burns
Red Corner
VS
Aleksei Kunchenko
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
39
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gilbert BurnsL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · May 23L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Mar 24L
vs Sean Brady · Sep 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · May 25Aleksei Kunchenko
oldest →latest
W
vs Thiago Alves · Sep 18W
vs Yushin Okami · Dec 18L
vs Elizeu Dos Santos · Mar 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gilbert BurnsMetricAleksei Kunchenko
3.16
Strikes / min
3.67
3.68
Strikes absorbed / min
2.83
52%
Strike defense
63%
2.04
TDs / 15 min
0.25
53%
Takedown defense
80%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52Δ 1.36 — meaningful gap+0.84
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gilbert BurnsAleksei Kunchenko
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gilbert Burns(10 fights)Aleksei Kunchenko(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+41.6-41.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-147.0147.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Gilbert Burns
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24
Aleksei Kunchenko
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights4