Lightweight
3 Rounds
Gilbert Burns won · SUB R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 21, 2015·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupGilbert Burns: WrestlervsAlex Oliveira: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Gilbert Burns wins(50.1%)
Actual result: Gilbert Burns wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gilbert Burns enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alex Oliveira enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Alex Oliveira has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Gilbert Burns
Red Corner
VS
Alex Oliveira
Blue Corner
-800
(89%)
Vegas Odds
+550
(15%)
39
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gilbert BurnsL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · May 23L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Mar 24L
vs Sean Brady · Sep 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · May 25Alex OliveiraL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Peter Sobotta · Jul 20L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Oct 20L
SUBvs Randy Brown · Apr 21L
vs Niko Price · Oct 21L
KOvs Kevin Holland · Mar 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gilbert BurnsMetricAlex Oliveira
3.16
Strikes / min
2.99
3.68
Strikes absorbed / min
2.55
52%
Strike defense
46%
2.04
TDs / 15 min
2.35
53%
Takedown defense
63%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52evenly matched on net striking+0.44
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gilbert BurnsAlex Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gilbert Burns(10 fights)Alex Oliveira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+36.0-36.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.648.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.849.8
Gilbert Burns
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24
Alex Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights21