Lightweight
3 Rounds
Gilbert Burns won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 14, 2018·Glendale, Arizona, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Gilbert Burns wins(67.3%)
Actual result: Gilbert Burns wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gilbert Burns enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dan Moret (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Gilbert Burns
Red Corner
VS
Dan Moret
Blue Corner
-640
(86%)
Vegas Odds
+470
(18%)
39
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gilbert BurnsL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · May 23L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Mar 24L
vs Sean Brady · Sep 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · May 25Dan MoretL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alex White · Mar 19L
vs Jared Gordon · Jun 19Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gilbert BurnsMetricDan Moret
3.16
Strikes / min
2.67
3.68
Strikes absorbed / min
3.56
52%
Strike defense
43%
2.04
TDs / 15 min
1.25
53%
Takedown defense
45%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52evenly matched on net striking-0.89
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gilbert BurnsDan Moret
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gilbert Burns(10 fights)Dan Moret(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+48.7-48.7
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.548.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Gilbert Burns
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24
Dan Moret
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights3