Welterweight
3 Rounds
Gilbert Burns won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 8, 2023·Miami, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupGilbert Burns: WrestlervsJorge Masvidal: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Gilbert Burns wins(51.4%)
Actual result: Gilbert Burns wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gilbert Burns enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Jorge Masvidal enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Jorge Masvidal has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Jorge Masvidal has 19pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Gilbert Burns
Red Corner
VS
Jorge Masvidal
Blue Corner
-450
(82%)
Vegas Odds
+360
(22%)
39
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gilbert BurnsL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Neil Magny · Jan 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · May 23L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Mar 24L
vs Sean Brady · Sep 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · May 25Jorge MasvidalL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Ben Askren · Jul 19W
KOvs Nate Diaz · Nov 19L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jul 20L
KOvs Kamaru Usman · Apr 21L
vs Colby Covington · Mar 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gilbert BurnsMetricJorge Masvidal
3.16
Strikes / min
4.05
3.68
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
52%
Strike defense
64%
2.04
TDs / 15 min
1.38
53%
Takedown defense
72%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap+1.00
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gilbert BurnsJorge Masvidal
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gilbert Burns(10 fights)Jorge Masvidal(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+79.8-79.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-322.0322.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.31.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Gilbert Burns
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24
Jorge Masvidal
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights22