Lightweight
3 Rounds
Gilbert Burns won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Thursday, July 7, 2016·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Gilbert Burns wins(74.9%)
Actual result: Gilbert Burns wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gilbert Burns enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Gilbert Burns
Red Corner
VS
Lukasz Sajewski
Blue Corner
-265
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+225
(31%)
39
Age
35
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gilbert BurnsL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · May 23L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Mar 24L
vs Sean Brady · Sep 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · May 25Lukasz SajewskiL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Nick Hein · Jun 15L
KOvs Marc Diakiese · Oct 16Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gilbert BurnsMetricLukasz Sajewski
3.16
Strikes / min
2.06
3.68
Strikes absorbed / min
3.88
52%
Strike defense
57%
2.04
TDs / 15 min
1.01
53%
Takedown defense
66%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52Δ 1.30 — meaningful gap-1.82
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gilbert BurnsLukasz Sajewski
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gilbert Burns(10 fights)Lukasz Sajewski(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+52.9-52.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-140.0140.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.5-1.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Gilbert Burns
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24
Lukasz Sajewski
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights3