Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gilbert Burns enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Michael Morales enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Michael Morales is a KO finisher (71% of wins). Gilbert Burns has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Michael Morales has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Michael Morales has a 20cm reach advantage.
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gilbert BurnsL4 streak
oldest →W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · May 23L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Mar 24L
KOvs Mike Malott · Apr 26 Michael MoralesW5 streak
oldest →W
KOvs Adam Fugitt · Jul 22W
vs Jake Matthews · Nov 23W
KOvs Neil Magny · Aug 24W
KOvs Sean Brady · Nov 25 Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gilbert BurnsMetricMichael Morales
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)-0.52Δ 2.94 — meaningful gap+2.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages · bigger area = stronger across dimensions
Gilbert BurnsMichael Morales
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gilbert Burns(10 fights)Michael Morales(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials
Red − Blue for each engineered feature. Bar leans toward the stronger fighter.Hover a label to see what it measures.
ELO Rating— Skill rating gap. Larger = bigger experience/performance gap between fighters.
Red -81.1|Blue +81.1
Recent Form— Weighted win-rate over recent fights. Positive = Red on hotter streak.
Red -1.6|Blue +1.6
Striker Score— Striking output & defense composite. Positive = Red has striking edge.
Red +0.5|Blue -0.5
Grappler Score— Takedown & submission composite. Positive = Red has grappling edge.
Red +0.2|Blue -0.2
Layoff— Days since last fight (Red − Blue). Positive = Red has been away longer.
Red -14.0|Blue +14.0
Red Corner advantageBlue Corner advantage
Strike Breakdown
Where the strikes landed. Head accuracy is the single strongest predictor of fight outcomes.
Gilbert BurnsTargetMichael Morales
Round-by-Round Scoring (Model)
Statistical round-winner heuristic based on strikes, takedowns, control time, and knockdowns. Not the official judges' scorecard.
Round 1Michael Morales edged it
Sig. strikes5
Takedowns1
Control0:30
Knockdowns0
33Sig. strikes
0Takedowns
0:10Control
2Knockdowns
Statistical round count agrees with the official result.
