Lightweight
3 Rounds
Michel Prazeres won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 24, 2016·Brasilia, Distrito Federal, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupGilbert Burns: WrestlervsMichel Prazeres: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Michel Prazeres wins(60.0%)
Actual result: Michel Prazeres wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gilbert Burns enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gilbert Burns has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Gilbert Burns
Red Corner
VS
Michel Prazeres
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
39
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'6"
180.34 cm
Reach
170.18 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gilbert BurnsL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · May 23L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Mar 24L
vs Sean Brady · Sep 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · May 25Michel PrazeresL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Desmond Green · Feb 18W
vs Zak Cummings · May 18W
SUBvs Bartosz Fabinski · Nov 18L
vs Ismail Naurdiev · Feb 19L
SUBvs Shavkat Rakhmonov · Jun 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gilbert BurnsMetricMichel Prazeres
3.16
Strikes / min
2.38
3.68
Strikes absorbed / min
2.51
52%
Strike defense
57%
2.04
TDs / 15 min
3.94
53%
Takedown defense
47%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52evenly matched on net striking-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gilbert BurnsMichel Prazeres
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gilbert Burns(10 fights)Michel Prazeres(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+14.3-14.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+16.0-16.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
Gilbert Burns
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24
Michel Prazeres
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach67.0"
Fights14