Lightweight
3 Rounds
Gilbert Burns won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 27, 2019·Sunrise, Florida, USA, USA
Style matchupGilbert Burns: WrestlervsMike Davis: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Gilbert Burns wins(57.7%)
Actual result: Gilbert Burns wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gilbert Burns enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
Tale of the Tape
Gilbert Burns
Red Corner
VS
Mike Davis
Blue Corner
-245
(71%)
Vegas Odds
+205
(33%)
39
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'0"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gilbert BurnsL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · May 23L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Mar 24L
vs Sean Brady · Sep 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · May 25Mike Davis
oldest →latest
L
vs Mason Jones · Jan 21W
vs Viacheslav Borshchev · Oct 22W
SUBvs Natan Levy · Mar 24L
vs Fares Ziam · Feb 25W
KOvs Mitch Ramirez · Jul 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gilbert BurnsMetricMike Davis
3.16
Strikes / min
4.73
3.68
Strikes absorbed / min
5.23
52%
Strike defense
54%
2.04
TDs / 15 min
2.40
53%
Takedown defense
60%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52evenly matched on net striking-0.50
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gilbert BurnsMike Davis
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gilbert Burns(10 fights)Mike Davis(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+65.0-65.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.448.4
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.649.6
Gilbert Burns
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24
Mike Davis
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights7