Welterweight
3 Rounds
Gilbert Burns won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, January 21, 2023·Rio de Janeiro, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupGilbert Burns: WrestlervsNeil Magny: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Neil Magny wins(54.9%)
Actual result: Gilbert Burns wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gilbert Burns enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Neil Magny has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Gilbert Burns
Red Corner
VS
Neil Magny
Blue Corner
-490
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+390
(20%)
39
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
6'3"
180.34 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gilbert BurnsL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · May 23L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Mar 24L
vs Sean Brady · Sep 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · May 25Neil Magny
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Michael Morales · Aug 24L
KOvs Carlos Prates · Nov 24W
KOvs Elizeu Zaleski dos Santos · Aug 25W
SUBvs Jake Matthews · Sep 25L
SUBvs Yaroslav Amosov · Dec 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gilbert BurnsMetricNeil Magny
3.16
Strikes / min
3.40
3.68
Strikes absorbed / min
2.44
52%
Strike defense
51%
2.04
TDs / 15 min
2.17
53%
Takedown defense
55%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52Δ 1.48 — meaningful gap+0.96
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gilbert BurnsNeil Magny
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gilbert Burns(10 fights)Neil Magny(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-27.527.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+210.0-210.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Gilbert Burns
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24
Neil Magny
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights37