Lightweight
3 Rounds
Rashid Magomedov won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 7, 2015·Sao Paulo, Sao Paulo, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupGilbert Burns: WrestlervsRashid Magomedov: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Gilbert Burns wins(58.9%)
Actual result: Rashid Magomedov wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gilbert Burns enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Rashid Magomedov has 36pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Gilbert Burns
Red Corner
VS
Rashid Magomedov
Blue Corner
+155
(39%)
Vegas Odds
-175
(64%)
39
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gilbert BurnsL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · May 23L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Mar 24L
vs Sean Brady · Sep 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · May 25Rashid Magomedov
oldest →latest
W
vs Anthony Rocco Martin · Feb 14W
vs Rodrigo Damm · May 14W
KOvs Elias Silverio · Dec 14L
vs Beneil Dariush · Nov 16W
vs Bobby Green · Apr 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gilbert BurnsMetricRashid Magomedov
3.16
Strikes / min
4.40
3.68
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
52%
Strike defense
54%
2.04
TDs / 15 min
0.67
53%
Takedown defense
89%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52Δ 1.87 — meaningful gap+1.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gilbert BurnsRashid Magomedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gilbert Burns(10 fights)Rashid Magomedov(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-4.54.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-91.091.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Gilbert Burns
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24
Rashid Magomedov
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights6