Welterweight
5 Rounds
Sean Brady won · U-DEC R5
UFC Event·Saturday, September 7, 2024·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupGilbert Burns: WrestlervsSean Brady: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Sean Brady wins(63.3%)
Actual result: Sean Brady wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gilbert Burns enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Sean Brady has 33pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Gilbert Burns
Red Corner
VS
Sean Brady
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
39
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
180.34 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gilbert BurnsL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Neil Magny · Jan 23W
vs Jorge Masvidal · Apr 23L
vs Belal Muhammad · May 23L
KOvs Jack Della Maddalena · Mar 24L
KOvs Michael Morales · May 25Sean Brady
oldest →latest
W
vs Michael Chiesa · Nov 21L
KOvs Belal Muhammad · Oct 22W
SUBvs Kelvin Gastelum · Dec 23W
SUBvs Leon Edwards · Mar 25L
KOvs Michael Morales · Nov 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gilbert BurnsMetricSean Brady
3.16
Strikes / min
4.08
3.68
Strikes absorbed / min
2.77
52%
Strike defense
59%
2.04
TDs / 15 min
3.58
53%
Takedown defense
86%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.80
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.52Δ 1.83 — meaningful gap+1.31
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gilbert BurnsSean Brady
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gilbert Burns(10 fights)Sean Brady(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+28.0-28.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-98.098.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.90.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Gilbert Burns
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights24
Sean Brady
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights10