Women's Strawweight
3 Rounds
Gillian Robertson won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, April 15, 2023·Kansas City, Missouri, USA, USA
Style matchupGillian Robertson: WrestlervsPiera Rodriguez: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Gillian Robertson wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Gillian Robertson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gillian Robertson enters on a 5-fight win streak.
- Piera Rodriguez enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Gillian Robertson threatens submissions; Piera Rodriguez has lost 50% of fights by sub.
- Piera Rodriguez has 43pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Gillian Robertson
Red Corner
VS
Piera Rodriguez
Blue Corner
-126
(56%)
Vegas Odds
+108
(48%)
31
Age
33
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'5"
Height
5'3"
160.02 cm
Reach
160.02 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gillian RobertsonW5 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Polyana Viana · Jan 24W
vs Michelle Waterson-Gomez · Jun 24W
vs Luana Pinheiro · Nov 24W
KOvs Marina Rodriguez · May 25W
vs Amanda Lemos · Mar 26Piera RodriguezW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Sam Hughes · Oct 22L
vs Ariane Carnelossi · May 24W
vs Josefine Knutsson · Dec 24W
vs Ketlen Souza · Aug 25W
vs Sam Hughes · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gillian RobertsonMetricPiera Rodriguez
2.71
Strikes / min
4.04
2.86
Strikes absorbed / min
3.13
56%
Strike defense
53%
2.76
TDs / 15 min
4.04
38%
Takedown defense
81%
0.90
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.15Δ 1.06 — meaningful gap+0.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gillian RobertsonPiera Rodriguez
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gillian Robertson(10 fights)Piera Rodriguez(7 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+3.2-3.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Gillian Robertson
StanceOrthodox
Height65.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights20
Piera Rodriguez
StanceOrthodox
Height63.0"
Reach63.0"
Fights7