Lightweight
3 Rounds
Gleison Tibau won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, October 13, 2012·Rio de Janeiro, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupGleison Tibau: WrestlervsFrancisco Trinaldo: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Francisco Trinaldo wins(57.1%)
Actual result: Gleison Tibau wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gleison Tibau enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Gleison Tibau has 32pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Gleison Tibau
Red Corner
VS
Francisco Trinaldo
Blue Corner
-130
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+120
(45%)
42
Age
47
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'9"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gleison TibauL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Norman Parke · Jan 15L
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Feb 15L
vs Abel Trujillo · Nov 15L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 18L
vs Desmond Green · Jun 18Francisco Trinaldo
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jai Herbert · Jul 20L
vs Muslim Salikhov · Jun 21W
vs Dwight Grant · Oct 21W
vs Danny Roberts · May 22L
vs Randy Brown · Oct 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gleison TibauMetricFrancisco Trinaldo
1.95
Strikes / min
3.13
2.51
Strikes absorbed / min
2.67
63%
Strike defense
60%
4.08
TDs / 15 min
0.98
92%
Takedown defense
60%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.50
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.56Δ 1.02 — meaningful gap+0.46
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gleison TibauFrancisco Trinaldo
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gleison Tibau(10 fights)Francisco Trinaldo(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.8-13.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.1-1.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.8-0.8
Gleison Tibau
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights18
Francisco Trinaldo
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights26