Lightweight
3 Rounds
Gleison Tibau won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, May 18, 2013·Jaragua do Sul, Santa Catarina, Brazil, Brazil
Style matchupGleison Tibau: WrestlervsJohn Cholish: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Gleison Tibau wins(58.6%)
Actual result: Gleison Tibau wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gleison Tibau enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- John Cholish has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gleison Tibau (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Gleison Tibau
Red Corner
VS
John Cholish
Blue Corner
-255
(72%)
Vegas Odds
+235
(30%)
42
Age
42
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gleison TibauL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Norman Parke · Jan 15L
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Feb 15L
vs Abel Trujillo · Nov 15L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 18L
vs Desmond Green · Jun 18John Cholish
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Mitch Clarke · Dec 11L
vs Danny Castillo · May 12Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gleison TibauMetricJohn Cholish
1.95
Strikes / min
2.65
2.51
Strikes absorbed / min
2.29
63%
Strike defense
73%
4.08
TDs / 15 min
1.82
92%
Takedown defense
78%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.56evenly matched on net striking+0.36
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gleison TibauJohn Cholish
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gleison Tibau(10 fights)John Cholish(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+28.2-28.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-273.0273.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
Gleison Tibau
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights18
John Cholish
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3