Lightweight
3 Rounds
Gleison Tibau won · S-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, November 19, 2011·San Jose, California, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Rafael Dos Anjos wins(57.8%)
Actual result: Gleison Tibau wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gleison Tibau enters on a 4-fight losing streak.
- Rafael Dos Anjos enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gleison Tibau has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Gleison Tibau
Red Corner
VS
Rafael Dos Anjos
Blue Corner
-155
(61%)
Vegas Odds
+145
(41%)
42
Age
41
Southpaw
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
5'8"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gleison TibauL4 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Norman Parke · Jan 15L
SUBvs Tony Ferguson · Feb 15L
vs Abel Trujillo · Nov 15L
KOvs Islam Makhachev · Jan 18L
vs Desmond Green · Jun 18Rafael Dos AnjosL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Rafael Fiziev · Jul 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Dec 22L
vs Vicente Luque · Aug 23L
vs Mateusz Gamrot · Mar 24L
KOvs Geoff Neal · Oct 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gleison TibauMetricRafael Dos Anjos
1.95
Strikes / min
3.48
2.51
Strikes absorbed / min
3.23
63%
Strike defense
60%
4.08
TDs / 15 min
1.95
92%
Takedown defense
54%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.56evenly matched on net striking+0.25
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gleison TibauRafael Dos Anjos
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gleison Tibau(10 fights)Rafael Dos Anjos(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+15.5-15.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Gleison Tibau
StanceSouthpaw
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights18
Rafael Dos Anjos
StanceSouthpaw
Height68.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights32