Featherweight
3 Rounds
Grant Dawson won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, February 29, 2020·Norfolk, Virginia, USA, USA
Style matchupGrant Dawson: WrestlervsDarrick Minner: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Grant Dawson wins(52.0%)
Actual result: Grant Dawson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Darrick Minner enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Stance matchup historically favors Grant Dawson (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Grant Dawson
Red Corner
VS
Darrick Minner
Blue Corner
-475
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+380
(21%)
32
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'7"
182.88 cm
Reach
175.26 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Grant Dawson
oldest →latest
L
KOvs King Green · Oct 23W
vs Joe Solecki · Jun 24W
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Oct 24W
vs Diego Ferreira · Jan 25L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Dec 25Darrick MinnerL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs TJ Laramie · Sep 20W
vs Charles Rosa · Feb 21L
KOvs Darren Elkins · Jul 21L
vs Ryan Hall · Dec 21L
KOvs Shayilan Nuerdanbieke · Nov 22Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Grant DawsonMetricDarrick Minner
3.14
Strikes / min
2.63
2.14
Strikes absorbed / min
2.28
44%
Strike defense
35%
3.58
TDs / 15 min
2.40
66%
Takedown defense
66%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
2.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.00evenly matched on net striking+0.35
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Grant DawsonDarrick Minner
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Grant Dawson(10 fights)Darrick Minner(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+32.2-32.2
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-48.148.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-49.449.4
Grant Dawson
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights13
Darrick Minner
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach69.0"
Fights6