Lightweight
3 Rounds
Grant Dawson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 1, 2024·Newark, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupGrant Dawson: WrestlervsJoe Solecki: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Grant Dawson wins(62.0%)
Actual result: Grant Dawson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Grant Dawson has 52pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Grant Dawson (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Grant Dawson
Red Corner
VS
Joe Solecki
Blue Corner
—
Vegas Odds
—
32
Age
32
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'9"
182.88 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Grant Dawson
oldest →latest
W
vs Damir Ismagulov · Jul 23L
KOvs King Green · Oct 23W
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Oct 24W
vs Diego Ferreira · Jan 25L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Dec 25Joe SoleckiL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Jared Gordon · Oct 21W
vs Alex Da Silva · Jun 22W
SUBvs Carl Deaton · Feb 23L
KOvs Drakkar Klose · Dec 23L
vs Nurullo Aliev · Jan 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Grant DawsonMetricJoe Solecki
3.14
Strikes / min
1.97
2.14
Strikes absorbed / min
1.85
44%
Strike defense
50%
3.58
TDs / 15 min
2.06
66%
Takedown defense
14%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
1.40
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.00evenly matched on net striking+0.12
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Grant DawsonJoe Solecki
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Grant Dawson(10 fights)Joe Solecki(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+59.0-59.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+56.0-56.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Grant Dawson
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights13
Joe Solecki
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights9