Featherweight
3 Rounds
Grant Dawson won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 9, 2019·Wichita, Kansas, USA, USA
Style matchupGrant Dawson: WrestlervsJulian Erosa: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Grant Dawson wins(71.0%)
Actual result: Grant Dawson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Grant Dawson (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Grant Dawson
Red Corner
VS
Julian Erosa
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
32
Age
36
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'10"
Height
6'1"
182.88 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Grant Dawson
oldest →latest
L
KOvs King Green · Oct 23W
vs Joe Solecki · Jun 24W
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Oct 24W
vs Diego Ferreira · Jan 25L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Dec 25Julian ErosaL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs Ricardo Ramos · Mar 24W
SUBvs Christian Rodriguez · Jul 24W
KOvs Darren Elkins · Apr 25L
vs Melquizael Costa · May 25L
KOvs Lerryan Douglas · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Grant DawsonMetricJulian Erosa
3.14
Strikes / min
6.18
2.14
Strikes absorbed / min
6.31
44%
Strike defense
48%
3.58
TDs / 15 min
1.73
66%
Takedown defense
61%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.70
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.00Δ 1.13 — meaningful gap-0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Grant DawsonJulian Erosa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Grant Dawson(10 fights)Julian Erosa(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+16.9-16.9
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+47.8-47.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+49.5-49.5
Grant Dawson
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights13
Julian Erosa
StanceSouthpaw
Height73.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights18