Lightweight
5 Rounds
King Green won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 7, 2023·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupGrant Dawson: WrestlervsKing Green: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Grant Dawson wins(61.8%)
Actual result: King Green wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- King Green has 18pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Stance matchup historically favors Grant Dawson (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Grant Dawson
Red Corner
VS
King Green
Blue Corner
-620
(86%)
Vegas Odds
—
32
Age
39
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'10"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
180.34 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Grant Dawson
oldest →latest
W
vs Damir Ismagulov · Jul 23W
vs Joe Solecki · Jun 24W
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Oct 24W
vs Diego Ferreira · Jan 25L
KOvs Manuel Torres · Dec 25King GreenW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jim Miller · Apr 24L
SUBvs Paddy Pimblett · Jul 24L
KOvs Mauricio Ruffy · Mar 25W
vs Lance Gibson Jr. · Dec 25W
KOvs Daniel Zellhuber · Feb 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Grant DawsonMetricKing Green
3.14
Strikes / min
6.46
2.14
Strikes absorbed / min
3.55
44%
Strike defense
62%
3.58
TDs / 15 min
1.33
66%
Takedown defense
72%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.30
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.00Δ 1.91 — meaningful gap+2.91
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Grant DawsonKing Green
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Grant Dawson(10 fights)King Green(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+108.4-108.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+28.0-28.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
Grant Dawson
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights13
King Green
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8