Lightweight
3 Rounds
Manuel Torres won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, December 6, 2025·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupGrant Dawson: WrestlervsManuel Torres: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Grant Dawson wins(54.4%)
Actual result: Manuel Torres wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Grant Dawson enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Manuel Torres is a KO finisher (80% of wins). Grant Dawson has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Manuel Torres has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Manuel Torres has 24pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Grant Dawson
Red Corner
VS
Manuel Torres
Blue Corner
-270
(73%)
Vegas Odds
+220
(31%)
32
Age
31
Switch
Stance
Switch
5'10"
Height
5'10"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Grant DawsonW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Damir Ismagulov · Jul 23L
KOvs King Green · Oct 23W
vs Joe Solecki · Jun 24W
KOvs Rafa Garcia · Oct 24W
vs Diego Ferreira · Jan 25Manuel Torres
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Frank Camacho · May 22W
KOvs Nikolas Motta · Jun 23W
SUBvs Chris Duncan · Feb 24L
KOvs Ignacio Bahamondes · Sep 24W
KOvs Drew Dober · Mar 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Grant DawsonMetricManuel Torres
3.14
Strikes / min
7.29
2.14
Strikes absorbed / min
4.08
44%
Strike defense
54%
3.58
TDs / 15 min
1.72
66%
Takedown defense
90%
1.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.90
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.00Δ 2.21 — meaningful gap+3.21
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Grant DawsonManuel Torres
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Grant Dawson(10 fights)Manuel Torres(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+100.2-100.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+70.0-70.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Grant Dawson
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights13
Manuel Torres
StanceSwitch
Height70.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6