Lightweight
3 Rounds
Alexander Yakovlev won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, April 4, 2015·Fairfax, Virginia, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Gray Maynard wins(53.3%)
Actual result: Alexander Yakovlev wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Alexander Yakovlev (53.5%).
- Alexander Yakovlev has a 10cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Gray Maynard
Red Corner
VS
Alexander Yakovlev
Blue Corner
+120
(45%)
Vegas Odds
-140
(58%)
47
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'9"
Height
6'3"
177.8 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gray Maynard
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ross Pearson · Aug 14W
vs Fernando Bruno · Jul 16L
vs Ryan Hall · Dec 16W
vs Teruto Ishihara · Jul 17L
KOvs Nik Lentz · Oct 18Alexander YakovlevL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Kamaru Usman · Jul 16L
SUBvs Zak Cummings · Nov 16W
SUBvs Alex Da Silva · Apr 19L
vs Roosevelt Roberts · Nov 19L
SUBvs Joel Alvarez · Oct 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gray MaynardMetricAlexander Yakovlev
1.92
Strikes / min
1.74
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
2.41
66%
Strike defense
58%
2.91
TDs / 15 min
1.66
81%
Takedown defense
72%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.72evenly matched on net striking-0.67
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gray MaynardAlexander Yakovlev
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gray Maynard(10 fights)Alexander Yakovlev(9 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+5.3-5.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+49.0-49.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+1.0-1.0
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Gray Maynard
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
Alexander Yakovlev
StanceSouthpaw
Height75.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights9