Lightweight
5 Rounds
Gray Maynard won · S-DEC R5
UFC Event·Friday, June 22, 2012·Atlantic City, New Jersey, USA, USA
Style matchupGray Maynard: WrestlervsClay Guida: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Gray Maynard wins(58.3%)
Actual result: Gray Maynard wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Clay Guida enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gray Maynard has 15pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Gray Maynard
Red Corner
VS
Clay Guida
Blue Corner
-220
(69%)
Vegas Odds
+200
(33%)
47
Age
44
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'7"
177.8 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gray Maynard
oldest →latest
L
vs Alexander Yakovlev · Apr 15W
vs Fernando Bruno · Jul 16L
vs Ryan Hall · Dec 16W
vs Teruto Ishihara · Jul 17L
KOvs Nik Lentz · Oct 18Clay GuidaL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Claudio Puelles · Apr 22W
vs Scott Holtzman · Dec 22L
vs Rafa Garcia · Apr 23L
vs Joaquim Silva · Dec 23L
SUBvs Chase Hooper · Dec 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gray MaynardMetricClay Guida
1.92
Strikes / min
2.63
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
3.00
66%
Strike defense
61%
2.91
TDs / 15 min
3.10
81%
Takedown defense
66%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.72evenly matched on net striking-0.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gray MaynardClay Guida
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gray Maynard(10 fights)Clay Guida(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-47.347.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+35.0-35.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.70.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Gray Maynard
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
Clay Guida
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights27