Lightweight
3 Rounds
Nik Lentz won · KO/TKO R2
UFC Event·Saturday, October 6, 2018·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupGray Maynard: WrestlervsNik Lentz: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Gray Maynard wins(51.3%)
Actual result: Nik Lentz wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Nik Lentz enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Gray Maynard has 16pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Gray Maynard has 38pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Gray Maynard
Red Corner
VS
Nik Lentz
Blue Corner
+190
(34%)
Vegas Odds
-230
(70%)
47
Age
41
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'8"
177.8 cm
Reach
172.72 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gray Maynard
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Ross Pearson · Aug 14L
vs Alexander Yakovlev · Apr 15W
vs Fernando Bruno · Jul 16L
vs Ryan Hall · Dec 16W
vs Teruto Ishihara · Jul 17Nik LentzL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs David Teymur · Jun 18W
vs Scott Holtzman · Feb 19L
KOvs Charles Oliveira · May 19L
vs Arnold Allen · Jan 20L
vs Movsar Evloev · Jan 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gray MaynardMetricNik Lentz
1.92
Strikes / min
3.44
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
3.25
66%
Strike defense
50%
2.91
TDs / 15 min
3.30
81%
Takedown defense
43%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
1.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.72evenly matched on net striking+0.19
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gray MaynardNik Lentz
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gray Maynard(10 fights)Nik Lentz(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-80.280.2
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+329.0-329.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.11.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.30.3
Gray Maynard
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
Nik Lentz
StanceOrthodox
Height68.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights22