Lightweight
3 Rounds
TJ Grant won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, May 25, 2013·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Model Prediction: TJ Grant wins(65.8%)
Actual result: TJ Grant wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- TJ Grant enters on a 4-fight win streak.
- Gray Maynard has 10pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
- Gray Maynard has 45pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
Tale of the Tape
Gray Maynard
Red Corner
VS
TJ Grant
Blue Corner
-135
(57%)
Vegas Odds
+125
(44%)
47
Age
42
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
5'10"
177.8 cm
Reach
182.88 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gray Maynard
oldest →latest
L
vs Alexander Yakovlev · Apr 15W
vs Fernando Bruno · Jul 16L
vs Ryan Hall · Dec 16W
vs Teruto Ishihara · Jul 17L
KOvs Nik Lentz · Oct 18TJ GrantW4 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ricardo Almeida · Dec 10W
SUBvs Shane Roller · Oct 11W
vs Carlo Prater · May 12W
vs Evan Dunham · Sep 12W
KOvs Matt Wiman · Jan 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gray MaynardMetricTJ Grant
1.92
Strikes / min
3.95
2.64
Strikes absorbed / min
3.21
66%
Strike defense
56%
2.91
TDs / 15 min
1.63
81%
Takedown defense
36%
0.70
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.72Δ 1.46 — meaningful gap+0.74
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gray MaynardTJ Grant
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gray Maynard(10 fights)TJ Grant(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-35.835.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+218.0-218.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.50.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
Gray Maynard
StanceOrthodox
Height69.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights11
TJ Grant
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights8