Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Greg Hardy won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 27, 2019·Sunrise, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Greg Hardy wins(69.0%)
Actual result: Greg Hardy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Greg Hardy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Greg Hardy is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Dmitrii Smoliakov has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Stance matchup historically favors Dmitrii Smoliakov (52.9%).
- Greg Hardy has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Greg Hardy
Red Corner
VS
Dmitrii Smoliakov
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
37
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Switch
6'5"
Height
6'2"
203.2 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Greg HardyL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Yorgan De Castro · May 20W
KOvs Maurice Greene · Oct 20L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Dec 20L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Jul 21L
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Mar 22Dmitrii SmoliakovL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Luis Henrique · Jul 16L
KOvs Cyril Asker · Jan 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Greg HardyMetricDmitrii Smoliakov
4.79
Strikes / min
1.44
3.31
Strikes absorbed / min
3.81
55%
Strike defense
55%
0.20
TDs / 15 min
0.00
64%
Takedown defense
75%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.48Δ 3.85 — meaningful gap-2.37
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Greg HardyDmitrii Smoliakov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Greg Hardy(9 fights)Dmitrii Smoliakov(3 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+13.5-13.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-734.0734.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.60.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Greg Hardy
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights9
Dmitrii Smoliakov
StanceSwitch
Height74.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights3