Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Greg Hardy won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, July 20, 2019·San Antonio, Texas, USA, USA
Style matchupGreg Hardy: StrikervsJuan Adams: Pressure fighter
The pressure fighter will force exchanges. The cleaner striker needs lateral movement.
Model Prediction: Greg Hardy wins(66.0%)
Actual result: Greg Hardy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Greg Hardy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Greg Hardy is a KO finisher (75% of wins). Juan Adams has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Juan Adams is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Greg Hardy has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Greg Hardy has 21pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Greg Hardy
Red Corner
VS
Juan Adams
Blue Corner
-105
(51%)
Vegas Odds
-115
(53%)
37
Age
34
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'5"
Height
6'5"
203.2 cm
Reach
203.2 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Greg HardyL3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Yorgan De Castro · May 20W
KOvs Maurice Greene · Oct 20L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Dec 20L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Jul 21L
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Mar 22Juan AdamsL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Chris de la Rocha · Dec 18L
vs Arjan Bhullar · May 19L
KOvs Justin Tafa · Feb 20Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Greg HardyMetricJuan Adams
4.79
Strikes / min
7.09
3.31
Strikes absorbed / min
4.06
55%
Strike defense
34%
0.20
TDs / 15 min
0.91
64%
Takedown defense
57%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.48Δ 1.55 — meaningful gap+3.03
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Greg HardyJuan Adams
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Greg Hardy(9 fights)Juan Adams(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-0.50.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+7.0-7.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-1.81.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.40.4
Greg Hardy
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights9
Juan Adams
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights4