Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Greg Hardy won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, May 9, 2020·Jacksonville, Florida, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Greg Hardy wins(67.0%)
Actual result: Greg Hardy wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Greg Hardy enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Yorgan De Castro is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Greg Hardy has lost 60% of fights by KO.
- Greg Hardy has a 15cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Greg Hardy
Red Corner
VS
Yorgan De Castro
Blue Corner
-200
(67%)
Vegas Odds
+170
(37%)
37
Age
39
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'5"
Height
6'0"
203.2 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Greg HardyL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Alekander Volkov · Nov 19W
KOvs Maurice Greene · Oct 20L
KOvs Marcin Tybura · Dec 20L
KOvs Tai Tuivasa · Jul 21L
KOvs Serghei Spivac · Mar 22Yorgan De CastroL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Justin Tafa · Oct 19L
vs Carlos Felipe · Oct 20L
KOvs Jarjis Danho · Apr 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Greg HardyMetricYorgan De Castro
4.79
Strikes / min
2.46
3.31
Strikes absorbed / min
3.85
55%
Strike defense
53%
0.20
TDs / 15 min
0.00
64%
Takedown defense
77%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.48Δ 2.87 — meaningful gap-1.39
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Greg HardyYorgan De Castro
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Greg Hardy(9 fights)Yorgan De Castro(4 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-15.015.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-35.035.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.01.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
0.00.0
Greg Hardy
StanceOrthodox
Height77.0"
Reach80.0"
Fights9
Yorgan De Castro
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights4