Lightweight
3 Rounds
Gregor Gillespie won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, April 8, 2017·Buffalo, New York, USA, USA
Style matchupGregor Gillespie: WrestlervsAndrew Holbrook: Submission grappler
Wrestler wants to control on top; grappler wants to threaten subs from bottom. Cage position is critical.
Model Prediction: Gregor Gillespie wins(68.2%)
Actual result: Gregor Gillespie wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gregor Gillespie is a KO finisher (57% of wins). Andrew Holbrook has lost 100% of fights by KO.
- Gregor Gillespie has 90pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Andrew Holbrook (53.5%).
Tale of the Tape
Gregor Gillespie
Red Corner
VS
Andrew Holbrook
Blue Corner
-290
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+245
(29%)
39
Age
40
Orthodox
Stance
Southpaw
5'7"
Height
5'11"
180.34 cm
Reach
177.8 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gregor Gillespie
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Jordan Rinaldi · Jan 18W
SUBvs Vinc Pichel · Jun 18W
KOvs Yancy Medeiros · Jan 19L
KOvs Kevin Lee · Nov 19W
KOvs Diego Ferreira · May 21Andrew Holbrook
oldest →latest
W
vs Ramsey Nijem · Jul 15L
KOvs Joaquim Silva · Jul 16W
vs Jake Matthews · Nov 16L
KOvs Thibault Gouti · Sep 17Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gregor GillespieMetricAndrew Holbrook
3.74
Strikes / min
2.20
2.30
Strikes absorbed / min
3.00
57%
Strike defense
54%
6.86
TDs / 15 min
0.85
100%
Takedown defense
10%
0.80
Sub atts / 15 min
2.10
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+1.44Δ 2.24 — meaningful gap-0.80
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gregor GillespieAndrew Holbrook
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gregor Gillespie(8 fights)Andrew Holbrook(5 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-2.52.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
-0.80.8
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
Gregor Gillespie
StanceOrthodox
Height67.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights8
Andrew Holbrook
StanceSouthpaw
Height71.0"
Reach70.0"
Fights5