Middleweight
3 Rounds
Gregory Rodrigues won · KO/TKO R1
UFC Event·Saturday, August 19, 2023·Boston, Massachusetts, USA, USA
Style matchupGregory Rodrigues: Pressure fightervsDenis Tiuliulin: Well-rounded
The well-rounded fighter has answers in multiple phases. The pressure fighter needs damage early.
Model Prediction: Gregory Rodrigues wins(61.5%)
Actual result: Gregory Rodrigues wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Gregory Rodrigues enters on a 3-fight win streak.
- Denis Tiuliulin enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Denis Tiuliulin is a KO finisher (100% of wins). Gregory Rodrigues has lost 67% of fights by KO.
- Gregory Rodrigues has 12pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Gregory Rodrigues
Red Corner
VS
Denis Tiuliulin
Blue Corner
-375
(79%)
Vegas Odds
+295
(25%)
34
Age
38
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
6'3"
Height
6'1"
190.5 cm
Reach
195.58 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gregory RodriguesW3 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Christian Leroy Duncan · Jul 24L
KOvs Jared Cannonier · Feb 25W
KOvs Jack Hermansson · Jun 25W
vs Roman Kopylov · Nov 25W
KOvs Brunno Ferreira · Mar 26Denis TiuliulinL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Aliaskhab Khizriev · Mar 22W
KOvs Jamie Pickett · Sep 22L
SUBvs JunYong Park · Feb 23L
KOvs Christian Leroy Duncan · Nov 23L
vs Sedriques Dumas · Aug 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gregory RodriguesMetricDenis Tiuliulin
5.53
Strikes / min
3.61
4.78
Strikes absorbed / min
5.23
50%
Strike defense
38%
1.90
TDs / 15 min
0.96
75%
Takedown defense
72%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.75Δ 2.37 — meaningful gap-1.62
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gregory RodriguesDenis Tiuliulin
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gregory Rodrigues(10 fights)Denis Tiuliulin(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+49.3-49.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+14.0-14.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.2-0.2
Gregory Rodrigues
StanceOrthodox
Height75.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights13
Denis Tiuliulin
StanceOrthodox
Height73.0"
Reach77.0"
Fights6