Bantamweight
3 Rounds
Guido Cannetti won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, October 1, 2022·Las Vegas, Nevada, USA, USA
Style matchupGuido Cannetti: WrestlervsRandy Costa: Pressure fighter
The wrestler can defuse pressure by changing levels and going to the mat.
Model Prediction: Guido Cannetti wins(60.8%)
Actual result: Guido Cannetti wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Randy Costa (54.1%).
- Randy Costa has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Guido Cannetti
Red Corner
VS
Randy Costa
Blue Corner
+235
(30%)
Vegas Odds
-280
(74%)
46
Age
31
Southpaw
Stance
Switch
5'6"
Height
5'9"
172.72 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Guido Cannetti
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Marlon Vera · Nov 18L
KOvs Danaa Batgerel · Mar 20L
vs Mana Martinez · Aug 21W
KOvs Kris Moutinho · Mar 22L
SUBvs Mario Bautista · Mar 23Randy CostaL2 streak
oldest →latest
L
SUBvs Brandon Davis · Apr 19W
KOvs Boston Salmon · Oct 19W
KOvs Journey Newson · Sep 20L
KOvs Adrian Yanez · Jul 21L
KOvs Tony Kelley · Dec 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Guido CannettiMetricRandy Costa
3.44
Strikes / min
6.53
2.84
Strikes absorbed / min
7.58
51%
Strike defense
58%
2.27
TDs / 15 min
0.00
64%
Takedown defense
50%
0.40
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60Δ 1.65 — meaningful gap-1.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Guido CannettiRandy Costa
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Guido Cannetti(10 fights)Randy Costa(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-9.99.9
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-91.091.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Guido Cannetti
StanceSouthpaw
Height66.0"
Reach68.0"
Fights10
Randy Costa
StanceSwitch
Height69.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights6