Welterweight
3 Rounds
Gunnar Nelson won · SUB R1
UFC Event·Saturday, March 8, 2014·London, England, United Kingdom, United Kingdom
Style matchupGunnar Nelson: WrestlervsOmari Akhmedov: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Gunnar Nelson wins(72.6%)
Actual result: Gunnar Nelson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gunnar Nelson (52.9%).
Tale of the Tape
Gunnar Nelson
Red Corner
VS
Omari Akhmedov
Blue Corner
-280
(74%)
Vegas Odds
+255
(28%)
37
Age
38
Switch
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
185.42 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gunnar Nelson
oldest →latest
L
vs Leon Edwards · Mar 19L
vs Gilbert Burns · Sep 19W
vs Takashi Sato · Mar 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Mar 23L
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 25Omari Akhmedov
oldest →latest
W
vs Zak Cummings · Sep 19W
vs Ian Heinisch · Dec 19L
vs Chris Weidman · Aug 20W
SUBvs Tom Breese · Jan 21L
vs Brad Tavares · Jul 21Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gunnar NelsonMetricOmari Akhmedov
1.77
Strikes / min
2.97
3.06
Strikes absorbed / min
2.84
48%
Strike defense
55%
2.00
TDs / 15 min
2.58
68%
Takedown defense
65%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.20
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.29Δ 1.42 — meaningful gap+0.13
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gunnar NelsonOmari Akhmedov
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gunnar Nelson(10 fights)Omari Akhmedov(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+11.5-11.5
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+266.0-266.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.6-0.6
Gunnar Nelson
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights16
Omari Akhmedov
StanceOrthodox
Height72.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights14