Welterweight
3 Rounds
Gunnar Nelson won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, July 19, 2014·Dublin, Leinster, Ireland, Ireland
Style matchupGunnar Nelson: WrestlervsZak Cummings: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Gunnar Nelson wins(72.2%)
Actual result: Gunnar Nelson wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Stance matchup historically favors Gunnar Nelson (54.1%).
Tale of the Tape
Gunnar Nelson
Red Corner
VS
Zak Cummings
Blue Corner
-840
(89%)
Vegas Odds
+660
(13%)
37
Age
41
Switch
Stance
Southpaw
5'11"
Height
6'0"
182.88 cm
Reach
190.5 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Gunnar Nelson
oldest →latest
L
vs Leon Edwards · Mar 19L
vs Gilbert Burns · Sep 19W
vs Takashi Sato · Mar 22W
SUBvs Bryan Barberena · Mar 23L
vs Kevin Holland · Mar 25Zak CummingsW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Trevor Smith · Dec 18W
SUBvs Trevin Giles · May 19L
vs Omari Akhmedov · Sep 19W
vs Alessio Di Chirico · Aug 20W
KOvs Ed Herman · Apr 23Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Gunnar NelsonMetricZak Cummings
1.77
Strikes / min
2.96
3.06
Strikes absorbed / min
2.91
48%
Strike defense
55%
2.00
TDs / 15 min
0.62
68%
Takedown defense
66%
1.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-1.29Δ 1.34 — meaningful gap+0.05
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Gunnar NelsonZak Cummings
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Gunnar Nelson(10 fights)Zak Cummings(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+12.0-12.0
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+63.0-63.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
0.00.0
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.7-0.7
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Gunnar Nelson
StanceSwitch
Height71.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights16
Zak Cummings
StanceSouthpaw
Height72.0"
Reach75.0"
Fights14