Heavyweight
3 Rounds
Mohammed Usman won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, June 21, 2025·Baku, Azerbaijan, Azerbaijan
Style matchupHamdy Abdelwahab: WrestlervsMohammed Usman: Well-rounded
Well-rounded fighters typically have the tools to neutralize wrestlers if their TD defense is sharp.
Model Prediction: Hamdy Abdelwahab wins(64.1%)
Actual result: Mohammed Usman wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hamdy Abdelwahab has 34pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Hamdy Abdelwahab (53.5%).
- Mohammed Usman has a 18cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Hamdy Abdelwahab
Red Corner
VS
Mohammed Usman
Blue Corner
-168
(63%)
Vegas Odds
+142
(41%)
33
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
6'2"
Height
6'2"
182.88 cm
Reach
200.66 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hamdy AbdelwahabW2 streak
oldest →latest
W
vs Jamal Pogues · Feb 25W
vs Chris Barnett · Oct 25Mohammed UsmanL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
KOvs Zac Pauga · Aug 22W
vs Junior Tafa · Apr 23W
vs Jake Collier · Sep 23L
vs Mick Parkin · Mar 24L
vs Thomas Petersen · Jul 24Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hamdy AbdelwahabMetricMohammed Usman
4.27
Strikes / min
3.85
3.67
Strikes absorbed / min
4.27
51%
Strike defense
51%
3.25
TDs / 15 min
0.56
100%
Takedown defense
66%
0.00
Sub atts / 15 min
0.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.60Δ 1.02 — meaningful gap-0.42
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Hamdy AbdelwahabMohammed Usman
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hamdy Abdelwahab(3 fights)Mohammed Usman(6 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
+5.3-5.3
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-196.0196.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
+1.3-1.3
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.4-0.4
Hamdy Abdelwahab
StanceSouthpaw
Height74.0"
Reach72.0"
Fights3
Mohammed Usman
StanceOrthodox
Height74.0"
Reach79.0"
Fights6