Featherweight
3 Rounds
Charles Oliveira won · SUB R2
UFC Event·Saturday, June 28, 2014·Auckland, New Zealand, New Zealand
Style matchupHatsu Hioki: WrestlervsCharles Oliveira: Wrestler
Wrestler-vs-wrestler scrambles. Whoever lands the first takedown often controls the round.
Model Prediction: Hatsu Hioki wins(62.5%)
Actual result: Charles Oliveira wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hatsu Hioki has 17pp better strike defense — meaningful gap.
Tale of the Tape
Hatsu Hioki
Red Corner
VS
Charles Oliveira
Blue Corner
+185
(35%)
Vegas Odds
-200
(67%)
42
Age
36
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'10"
185.42 cm
Reach
187.96 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hatsu Hioki
oldest →latest
L
vs Ricardo Lamas · Jun 12L
vs Clay Guida · Jan 13L
vs Darren Elkins · Aug 13W
vs Ivan Menjivar · Mar 14L
KOvs Dan Hooker · May 15Charles OliveiraW2 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Arman Tsarukyan · Apr 24W
vs Michael Chandler · Nov 24L
KOvs Ilia Topuria · Jun 25W
SUBvs Mateusz Gamrot · Oct 25W
vs Max Holloway · Mar 26Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hatsu HiokiMetricCharles Oliveira
2.42
Strikes / min
3.23
2.12
Strikes absorbed / min
3.05
65%
Strike defense
48%
2.55
TDs / 15 min
2.29
54%
Takedown defense
54%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
2.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.18
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Hatsu HiokiCharles Oliveira
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hatsu Hioki(8 fights)Charles Oliveira(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-11.411.4
RedLayoff (days)Blue
-14.014.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.20.2
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.9-0.9
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.0-0.0
Hatsu Hioki
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Charles Oliveira
StanceOrthodox
Height70.0"
Reach74.0"
Fights36