Featherweight
3 Rounds
Hatsu Hioki won · U-DEC R3
UFC Event·Saturday, March 1, 2014·Macau, China, China
Model Prediction: Hatsu Hioki wins(71.4%)
Actual result: Hatsu Hioki wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Correct
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hatsu Hioki enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Hatsu Hioki has 16pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Hatsu Hioki has a 23cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Hatsu Hioki
Red Corner
VS
Ivan Menjivar
Blue Corner
-475
(83%)
Vegas Odds
+420
(19%)
42
Age
43
Orthodox
Stance
Orthodox
5'11"
Height
5'6"
185.42 cm
Reach
162.56 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hatsu HiokiL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
vs Ricardo Lamas · Jun 12L
vs Clay Guida · Jan 13L
vs Darren Elkins · Aug 13L
SUBvs Charles Oliveira · Jun 14L
KOvs Dan Hooker · May 15Ivan MenjivarL2 streak
oldest →latest
W
SUBvs John Albert · Feb 12L
vs Mike Easton · Jul 12W
SUBvs Azamat Gashimov · Nov 12L
SUBvs Urijah Faber · Feb 13L
vs Wilson Reis · Sep 13Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hatsu HiokiMetricIvan Menjivar
2.42
Strikes / min
2.78
2.12
Strikes absorbed / min
2.76
65%
Strike defense
65%
2.55
TDs / 15 min
0.56
54%
Takedown defense
38%
0.60
Sub atts / 15 min
1.00
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
+0.30evenly matched on net striking+0.02
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Hatsu HiokiIvan Menjivar
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hatsu Hioki(8 fights)Ivan Menjivar(8 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-22.822.8
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+24.0-24.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-0.10.1
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.5-0.5
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Hatsu Hioki
StanceOrthodox
Height71.0"
Reach73.0"
Fights8
Ivan Menjivar
StanceOrthodox
Height66.0"
Reach64.0"
Fights8