Middleweight
3 Rounds
Anthony Smith won · KO/TKO R3
UFC Event·Saturday, September 16, 2017·Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA, USA
Model Prediction: Hector Lombard wins(54.5%)
Actual result: Anthony Smith wins · Model version: ufc_v4_pure_xgboost_20260517_121258
Incorrect
Scouting Report
Auto-generated signals worth knowing before you read the deep stats below.
- Hector Lombard enters on a 5-fight losing streak.
- Anthony Smith enters on a 3-fight losing streak.
- Hector Lombard is a KO finisher (67% of wins). Anthony Smith has lost 50% of fights by KO.
- Hector Lombard has 27pp better takedown defense — controls where the fight happens.
- Stance matchup historically favors Hector Lombard (53.5%).
- Anthony Smith has a 13cm reach advantage.
Tale of the Tape
Hector Lombard
Red Corner
VS
Anthony Smith
Blue Corner
+135
(43%)
Vegas Odds
-155
(61%)
48
Age
37
Southpaw
Stance
Orthodox
5'9"
Height
6'4"
180.34 cm
Reach
193.04 cm
Recent Form
Last 5 fights for each fighter — most recent on the right. Hover any result for the matchup.
Hector LombardL5 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Neil Magny · Mar 16L
KOvs Dan Henderson · Jun 16L
vs Johny Hendricks · Feb 17L
vs CB Dollaway · Mar 18L
vs Thales Leites · Sep 18Anthony SmithL3 streak
oldest →latest
L
KOvs Khalil Rountree Jr. · Dec 23W
SUBvs Vitor Petrino · May 24L
vs Roman Dolidze · Jun 24L
KOvs Dominick Reyes · Dec 24L
KOvs Zhang Mingyang · Apr 25Output & Defense Comparison
Rate-normalized career statistics. Bold side has the edge per metric.
Hector LombardMetricAnthony Smith
3.02
Strikes / min
3.19
3.35
Strikes absorbed / min
5.04
53%
Strike defense
44%
1.69
TDs / 15 min
0.44
77%
Takedown defense
50%
0.50
Sub atts / 15 min
0.60
Net striking (SLpM − SApM)
-0.33Δ 1.52 — meaningful gap-1.85
Statistical Profile
Career averages and model features. Bigger shape = stronger across measured dimensions.
Hector LombardAnthony Smith
Recent Elo Trajectory
Last 10 fights for each fighter, aligned right (most recent on the right).
Hector Lombard(10 fights)Anthony Smith(10 fights)
Model Feature Differentials (Red − Blue)
RedElo RatingBlue
-43.643.6
RedLayoff (days)Blue
+55.0-55.0
RedForm ScoreBlue
-1.51.5
RedStriker ScoreBlue
+0.3-0.3
RedGrappler ScoreBlue
+0.1-0.1
Hector Lombard
StanceSouthpaw
Height69.0"
Reach71.0"
Fights11
Anthony Smith
StanceOrthodox
Height76.0"
Reach76.0"
Fights25